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Bloomberg Say Floods Ruining 14% of Thai Rice May Erase Global Export Glut
Flooded Rice Fields in Central Thailand
Thailand’s worst floods in more than a half century may have wiped out as much as 14 percent of paddy fields in the world’s biggest rice exporter, potentially erasing the predicted global glut.
The Thai export price, a global benchmark, may climb 21 percent to $750 a metric ton by December, according to Sumeth Laomoraphorn, president of C.P. Intertrade Co., the country’s largest seller of packaged rice. Tropical storms inundated 62 of 77 provinces, destroying 1.4 million hectares (3.5 million acres) and as much as 7 million tons of crops, the government says. That equals 4.6 million tons of milled grain, 1 million more than the surplus expected by the U.S. Department of Agriculture.
Rice, a staple for half the world, was already this year’s best-performing agricultural commodity after drought cut the U.S. harvest to the lowest level in 13 years. Prices also rose as Thailand started buying at above-market costs to boost farmer incomes. That is adding renewed pressure to global food prices monitored by the United Nations, which had dropped 5 percent from a record in February as other grains declined.
“I’ve never seen such a catastrophe, watching the field turning into a sea of floodwater,” said Wichian Phuanglamchiak, a 74-year-old farmer in the central province of Ayutthaya, speaking from the second floor of his house. “My entire crop was wiped out and I have to wait for the water to recede before I can replant in December.”
Export Price
Thailand’s export price jumped 12 percent to $622 a ton this year as wheat tumbled 19 percent in Chicago and soybeans fell 12 percent. The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Agriculture gauge of eight commodities retreated 11 percent, while the MSCI All- Country World Index of equities dropped 8 percent. Treasuries returned 8.1 percent, Bank of America Corp. indexes show. Rice on the Chicago Board of Trade jumped 12 percent since Oct. 10.
The main Thai harvest, which represents about 70 percent of annual output, was expected to expand 3.3 percent to a record 25.1 million tons before the floods, government estimates show. The disaster began in the north in July, has spread across 81 percent of the provinces and may flood all of Bangkok, according to the government. The estimated losses may worsen once the water recedes, Apichart Jongskul, the secretary-general of the Office of Agricultural Economics, said Oct. 21.
World markets depend on Thailand because it was expected to account for 31 percent of all exports this year, USDA estimates show. Global rice production was projected to climb 2.2 percent to an all-time high of 461.4 million tons this year, compared with demand of 457.8 million tons, the Washington-based department said Oct. 12.
Arkansas, Texas
Farmers in Arkansas, accounting for 42 percent of U.S. output, faced flooding earlier in the year and then drought, reducing the crop by 32 percent, according to the USDA. Texas, the fourth-biggest grower behind California and Louisiana, had the driest 12 months since records began in 1895, according to John Nielsen-Gammon, the state climatologist in College Station. The U.S. accounts for about 10 percent of global exports.
In the Philippines, the biggest buyer in 2010, about 600,000 tons of rice were damaged by storms this year, Lito Banayo, the administrator of the National Food Authority, said Oct. 20. That’s 4.6 percent of the country’s annual consumption.
Thailand can still boost rice exports by 22 percent to 11 million tons this year even with the losses from the floods, Yanyong Phuangrach, the permanent secretary for commerce, said Oct. 14. That’s 500,000 tons more than the USDA is expecting. Farmers can also replant after the floods recede and make up some of the lost production, said Abah Ofon, a commodities analyst at Standard Chartered Plc in Singapore.
Non-Basmati Varieties
“I’m not entirely convinced yet that it’s going to lead to shortfalls in export capacity,” Ofon said. Supplies from India and Vietnam may help compensate for losses, he said.
India, the world’s third-largest exporter, may boost production to a record 100 million tons this season, the USDA estimates. That may increase shipments by 61 percent after the government lifted a ban on selling non-basmati varieties last month. Vietnam, the second-biggest shipper, plans to sell more than 7 million tons in 2011, Bui Ba Bong, deputy minister of agriculture and rural development, said Oct. 20.
While more supply may be available from India, it may not be moved in time to meet demand because of limits on port capacity, said Samarendu Mohanty, a senior economist at the International Rice Research Institute in Los Banos, Philippines.
“India can only ship so much,” said Jeremy Zwinger, president and chief executive officer of The Rice Trader, a researcher in Durham, California. Shipments in September were 258,000 tons, a monthly level that would not be enough to offset losses in Asia, the U.S. and South America, he said.
Profitable Crops
Flooding has damaged 13 percent of crop areas in Thailand, 6 percent in the Philippines, 12 percent in Cambodia and 7.5 percent in Laos, according to the UN Food & Agriculture Organization. This has “potentially bullish ramifications” for prices, which may put pressure on inflation, Deutsche Bank AG said on Oct. 24.
Production in South America may decline as much as 15 percent from a year earlier as the so-called La Nina weather pattern cuts rainfall and farmers shift to more profitable crops including soybeans, Bruno Lanfranco, a senior researcher at the National Agriculture Research Institute in Uruguay, said Oct. 21. La Nina is a period of cooling equatorial waters in the Pacific Ocean that can mean dry weather in parts of the Americas.
South America, the fourth-largest of 11 rice-growing regions tracked by the USDA, is projected to produce 16.1 million tons this marketing year, the agency estimates.
Rising Demand
Equity and commodity markets slumped since May amid slowing growth and Europe’s debt crisis. Demand for rice is unlikely to weaken. Consumption has increased every year since 2006, including during the worst global recession since World War II.
Economic growth in the Group of 10 countries may accelerate to 1.84 percent next year from 1.45 percent in 2011, according to a composite of economists’ forecasts compiled by Bloomberg.
“I’m bullish,” said Zwinger of The Rice Trader. “The only thing holding the market back right now is India. They have some stockpiles, but I don’t think it’s enough.”
To contact the reporters on this story: Luzi Ann Javier in Singapore at [email protected]; Supunnabul Suwannakij in Bangkok at [email protected]

News
Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding, But Still Accounting 48% Search Revenue

Google is so closely associated with its key product that its name is a verb that signifies “search.” However, Google’s dominance in that sector is dwindling.
According to eMarketer, Google will lose control of the US search industry for the first time in decades next year.
Google will remain the dominant search player, accounting for 48% of American search advertising revenue. And, remarkably, Google is still increasing its sales in the field, despite being the dominating player in search since the early days of the George W. Bush administration. However, Amazon is growing at a quicker rate.
Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding
Amazon will hold over a quarter of US search ad dollars next year, rising to 27% by 2026, while Google will fall even more, according to eMarketer.
The Wall Street Journal was first to report on the forecast.
Lest you think you’ll have to switch to Bing or Yahoo, this isn’t the end of Google or anything really near.
Google is the fourth-most valued public firm in the world. Its market worth is $2.1 trillion, trailing just Apple, Microsoft, and the AI chip darling Nvidia. It also maintains its dominance in other industries, such as display advertisements, where it dominates alongside Facebook’s parent firm Meta, and video ads on YouTube.
To put those “other” firms in context, each is worth more than Delta Air Lines’ total market value. So, yeah, Google is not going anywhere.
Nonetheless, Google faces numerous dangers to its operations, particularly from antitrust regulators.
On Monday, a federal judge in San Francisco ruled that Google must open up its Google Play Store to competitors, dealing a significant blow to the firm in its long-running battle with Fortnite creator Epic Games. Google announced that it would appeal the verdict.
In August, a federal judge ruled that Google has an illegal monopoly on search. That verdict could lead to the dissolution of the company’s search operation. Another antitrust lawsuit filed last month accuses Google of abusing its dominance in the online advertising business.
Meanwhile, European regulators have compelled Google to follow tough new standards, which have resulted in multiple $1 billion-plus fines.

Pixa Bay
Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding
On top of that, the marketplace is becoming more difficult on its own.
TikTok, the fastest-growing social network, is expanding into the search market. And Amazon has accomplished something few other digital titans have done to date: it has established a habit.
When you want to buy anything, you usually go to Amazon, not Google. Amazon then buys adverts to push companies’ products to the top of your search results, increasing sales and earning Amazon a greater portion of the revenue. According to eMarketer, it is expected to generate $27.8 billion in search revenue in the United States next year, trailing only Google’s $62.9 billion total.
And then there’s AI, the technology that (supposedly) will change everything.
Why search in stilted language for “kendall jenner why bad bunny breakup” or “police moving violation driver rights no stop sign” when you can just ask OpenAI’s ChatGPT, “What’s going on with Kendall Jenner and Bad Bunny?” in “I need help fighting a moving violation involving a stop sign that wasn’t visible.” Google is working on exactly this technology with its Gemini product, but its success is far from guaranteed, especially with Apple collaborating with OpenAI and other businesses rapidly joining the market.
A Google spokeswoman referred to a blog post from last week in which the company unveiled ads in its AI overviews (the AI-generated text that appears at the top of search results). It’s Google’s way of expressing its ability to profit on a changing marketplace while retaining its business, even as its consumers steadily transition to ask-and-answer AI and away from search.
Google has long used a single catchphrase to defend itself against opponents who claim it is a monopoly abusing its power: competition is only a click away. Until recently, that seemed comically obtuse. Really? We are going to switch to Bing? Or Duck Duck Go? Give me a break.
But today, it feels more like reality.
Google is in no danger of disappearing. However, every highly dominating company faces some type of reckoning over time. GE, a Dow mainstay for more than a century, was broken up last year and is now a shell of its previous dominance. Sears declared bankruptcy in 2022 and is virtually out of business. US Steel, long the foundation of American manufacturing, is attempting to sell itself to a Japanese corporation.
SOURCE | CNN
News
The Supreme Court Turns Down Biden’s Government Appeal in a Texas Emergency Abortion Matter.

(VOR News) – A ruling that prohibits emergency abortions that contravene the Supreme Court law in the state of Texas, which has one of the most stringent abortion restrictions in the country, has been upheld by the Supreme Court of the United States. The United States Supreme Court upheld this decision.
The justices did not provide any specifics regarding the underlying reasons for their decision to uphold an order from a lower court that declared hospitals cannot be legally obligated to administer abortions if doing so would violate the law in the state of Texas.
Institutions are not required to perform abortions, as stipulated in the decree. The common populace did not investigate any opposing viewpoints. The decision was made just weeks before a presidential election that brought abortion to the forefront of the political agenda.
This decision follows the 2022 Supreme Court ruling that ended abortion nationwide.
In response to a request from the administration of Vice President Joe Biden to overturn the lower court’s decision, the justices expressed their disapproval.
The government contends that hospitals are obligated to perform abortions in compliance with federal legislation when the health or life of an expectant patient is in an exceedingly precarious condition.
This is the case in regions where the procedure is prohibited. The difficulty hospitals in Texas and other states are experiencing in determining whether or not routine care could be in violation of stringent state laws that prohibit abortion has resulted in an increase in the number of complaints concerning pregnant women who are experiencing medical distress being turned away from emergency rooms.
The administration cited the Supreme Court’s ruling in a case that bore a striking resemblance to the one that was presented to it in Idaho at the beginning of the year. The justices took a limited decision in that case to allow the continuation of emergency abortions without interruption while a lawsuit was still being heard.
In contrast, Texas has been a vocal proponent of the injunction’s continued enforcement. Texas has argued that its circumstances are distinct from those of Idaho, as the state does have an exemption for situations that pose a significant hazard to the health of an expectant patient.
According to the state, the discrepancy is the result of this exemption. The state of Idaho had a provision that safeguarded a woman’s life when the issue was first broached; however, it did not include protection for her health.
Certified medical practitioners are not obligated to wait until a woman’s life is in imminent peril before they are legally permitted to perform an abortion, as determined by the state supreme court.
The state of Texas highlighted this to the Supreme Court.
Nevertheless, medical professionals have criticized the Texas statute as being perilously ambiguous, and a medical board has declined to provide a list of all the disorders that are eligible for an exception. Furthermore, the statute has been criticized for its hazardous ambiguity.
For an extended period, termination of pregnancies has been a standard procedure in medical treatment for individuals who have been experiencing significant issues. It is implemented in this manner to prevent catastrophic outcomes, such as sepsis, organ failure, and other severe scenarios.
Nevertheless, medical professionals and hospitals in Texas and other states with strict abortion laws have noted that it is uncertain whether or not these terminations could be in violation of abortion prohibitions that include the possibility of a prison sentence. This is the case in regions where abortion prohibitions are exceedingly restrictive.
Following the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, which resulted in restrictions on the rights of women to have abortions in several Republican-ruled states, the Texas case was revisited in 2022.
As per the orders that were disclosed by the administration of Vice President Joe Biden, hospitals are still required to provide abortions in cases that are classified as dire emergency.
As stipulated in a piece of health care legislation, the majority of hospitals are obligated to provide medical assistance to patients who are experiencing medical distress. This is in accordance with the law.
The state of Texas maintained that hospitals should not be obligated to provide abortions throughout the litigation, as doing so would violate the state’s constitutional prohibition on abortions. In its January judgment, the 5th United States Circuit Court of Appeals concurred with the state and acknowledged that the administration had exceeded its authority.
SOURCE: AP
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Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli, To repay $6.4 Million

Washington — The Supreme Court rejected Martin Shkreli’s appeal on Monday, after he was branded “Pharma Bro” for raising the price of a lifesaving prescription.
Martin appealed a decision to repay $64.6 million in profits he and his former company earned after monopolizing the pharmaceutical market and dramatically raising its price. His lawyers claimed the money went to his company rather than him personally.
The justices did not explain their reasoning, as is customary, and there were no notable dissents.
Prosecutors, conversely, claimed that the firm had promised to pay $40 million in a settlement and that because Martin orchestrated the plan, he should be held accountable for returning profits.
Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli
Martin was also forced to forfeit the Wu-Tang Clan’s unreleased album “Once Upon a Time in Shaolin,” which has been dubbed the world’s rarest musical album. The multiplatinum hip-hop group auctioned off a single copy of the record in 2015, stipulating that it not be used commercially.
Shkreli was convicted of lying to investors and defrauding them of millions of dollars in two unsuccessful hedge funds he managed. Shkreli was the CEO of Turing Pharmaceuticals (later Vyera), which hiked the price of Daraprim from $13.50 to $750 per pill after acquiring exclusive rights to the decades-old medicine in 2015. It cures a rare parasite condition that affects pregnant women, cancer patients, and HIV patients.
He defended the choice as an example of capitalism in action, claiming that insurance and other programs ensured that those in need of Daraprim would eventually receive it. However, the move prompted criticism, from the medical community to Congress.
Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli
Attorney Thomas Huff said the Supreme Court’s Monday ruling was upsetting, but the high court could still overturn a lower court judgment that allowed the $64 million penalty order even though Shkreli had not personally received the money.
“If and when the Supreme Court does so, Mr. Shkreli will have a strong argument for modifying the order accordingly,” he told reporters.
Shkreli was freed from prison in 2022 after serving most of his seven-year sentence.
SOURCE | AP
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