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How Much Can Rupee Recover Against US Dollar after IMF Deal?

(CTN News) – Pakistan’s efforts to revive the International Monetary Fund (IMF) program have rekindled hopes for economic stability.

After meeting several demands of the lender and making amendments to the budget for the fiscal year 2023-24, the nation is desperate to unlock funds before the June 30 deadline for the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreement, initially reached in 2019, expires and pushes Pakistan towards a sovereign default.

Rupee’s Historic Low: Potential Recovery with IMF Deal Revival

The revival of the IMF deal is seen as a crucial step toward economic stability for Pakistan. Additionally, the country’s currency, the rupee, has experienced a historic drop during the outgoing year, plunging 28% to 286 against the US dollar as of June 27, 2023, compared to 204.8 on June 30, 2022.

Malik Bostan, the president of the Exchange Companies Association of Pakistan (ECAP), has expressed optimism that the rupee could recover significantly if the IMF deal is successfully revived. In a video message to the media, Bostan predicted that the rupee could strengthen to 270 against the dollar.

Nathan Porter, the IMF’s Mission Chief to Pakistan, has confirmed that discussions with Pakistani authorities are underway, aiming to quickly reach an agreement on financial support from the IMF.

Porter acknowledged the decisive measures Pakistani authorities took to align policies with the economic reform program in a statement on Tuesday.

Having hoped to receive the IMF’s decision on the program within a day or two, Pakistan is eagerly awaiting the outcome. The revival of the IMF program is anticipated to bring much-needed economic stability to the country and help address the ongoing economic turmoil.

ORIGINAL STORY: Pakistan Nears Completion Of IMF Bailout Package Amidst Budget Concerns

Pakistan is in talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to secure the remaining $2.6 billion of its $6 billion bailout package, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar said on Tuesday.

Dar, who is in Washington to attend the annual meetings of the IMF and World Bank, told reporters that Pakistan had met all the performance criteria and prior actions required by the IMF for the release of the funds.

Economic Progress and Stability:

He said that Pakistan had successfully completed 12 reviews under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) programme, which was approved by the IMF in 2019.

Dar said that the IMF had acknowledged Pakistan’s economic progress and stability, despite the challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic and the locust invasion.

He said that Pakistan had achieved a primary surplus of 0.5 percent of GDP in the last fiscal year, which was higher than the target of 0.4 percent.

He also said that Pakistan had reduced its fiscal deficit to 8.1 percent of GDP, which was lower than the revised target of 9.1 percent.

Structural Reforms and Resilience:

Dar said that Pakistan had also improved its current account balance, which recorded a surplus of $1.8 billion in the first two months of the current fiscal year.

He said that Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves had increased to $20.4 billion, which was sufficient to cover more than three months of imports.

He said that Pakistan’s economic growth rate was expected to rebound to 4 per cent in the current fiscal year, after contracting by 0.4 per cent in the last fiscal year due to the pandemic.

Dar said that Pakistan was committed to implementing structural reforms to enhance its economic resilience and competitiveness.

IMF Concerns and Budget Revisions:

He said that Pakistan was improving its tax administration and policy, strengthening its social safety nets, expanding its energy sector, and promoting private sector development.

He said Pakistan was also pursuing regional integration and trade facilitation, especially with its neighbors.

Dar said that Pakistan appreciated the support and cooperation of the IMF and other development partners in its economic recovery and reform efforts.

He hoped that the IMF would soon approve releasing the remaining $2.6 billion of the bailout package, which would help Pakistan meet its external financing needs and boost its confidence in the international markets.

Ongoing Negotiations and Expected Approval:

The IMF had several concerns with Pakistan’s budget for the upcoming fiscal year 2024 earlier this month, claiming that several of the proposed policies violated the terms of the EFF program.

Before its board decides whether to release the pending tranche, Esther Perez Ruiz, the IMF representative for Pakistan, had previously stated that Pakistan needs to satisfy the IMF on three counts, including the budget for the upcoming fiscal year.

In response to the IMF’s worries, the administration stated that it was “flexible” regarding the budget and that it was still working with the lender to find a “amicable solution”.

In an effort to obtain crucial funding, the administration subsequently announced various revisions to the budget for the upcoming fiscal year last week.

These changes included budgetary tightening measures that the IMF mandated.

During a National Assembly session on Saturday, when he presented the amendments, Finance Minister Ishaq Dar had said, “Pakistan and IMF had detailed negotiations for the last three days as a last effort to complete the pending review.”

The adjustments include the removal of an amnesty on foreign exchange inflows, the lifting of import restrictions, the addition of Rs215 billion in new tax measures.

Rs85 billion in budget cuts, an increase of Rs16 billion in Benazir Income Support Programme allocations, and the authority to raise the fuel charge from Rs50 to Rs60 per liter.

Following the Parliament’s approval, Acting President Sadiq Sanjrani signed the revised budget into law.

IMF Plan:

In the meantime, PM Shehbaz spoke on the phone today and held back-to-back talks with the IMF director in Paris last week.

According to a handout issued by the Prime Minister’s Office (PMO) today, the premier and the head of the international lender spoke about the IMF plan.

And the IMF director general commended the finance minister and his team’s efforts to see the programme through to completion.

According to the statement, PM Shehbaz expressed the hope that cooperation on the IMF program’s points would result in a decision from the international lender in a day or two.

According to a government representative who spoke to Dawn on Monday, “almost all the issues between the IMF staff and the Ministry of Finance were resolved hours before the finance minister’s wind-up speech on Saturday.”

Additionally, the official stated that it was now up to the IMF mission to schedule the exact dates for the lender’s executive board approval and money disbursement.

He admitted that it was not due until June 30, when the $6.5 billion Extended Fund Facility that was agreed upon in 2019 is scheduled to expire.

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Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding, But Still Accounting 48% Search Revenue

Google

Google is so closely associated with its key product that its name is a verb that signifies “search.” However, Google’s dominance in that sector is dwindling.

According to eMarketer, Google will lose control of the US search industry for the first time in decades next year.

Google will remain the dominant search player, accounting for 48% of American search advertising revenue. And, remarkably, Google is still increasing its sales in the field, despite being the dominating player in search since the early days of the George W. Bush administration. However, Amazon is growing at a quicker rate.

google

Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding

Amazon will hold over a quarter of US search ad dollars next year, rising to 27% by 2026, while Google will fall even more, according to eMarketer.

The Wall Street Journal was first to report on the forecast.

Lest you think you’ll have to switch to Bing or Yahoo, this isn’t the end of Google or anything really near.

Google is the fourth-most valued public firm in the world. Its market worth is $2.1 trillion, trailing just Apple, Microsoft, and the AI chip darling Nvidia. It also maintains its dominance in other industries, such as display advertisements, where it dominates alongside Facebook’s parent firm Meta, and video ads on YouTube.

To put those “other” firms in context, each is worth more than Delta Air Lines’ total market value. So, yeah, Google is not going anywhere.

Nonetheless, Google faces numerous dangers to its operations, particularly from antitrust regulators.

On Monday, a federal judge in San Francisco ruled that Google must open up its Google Play Store to competitors, dealing a significant blow to the firm in its long-running battle with Fortnite creator Epic Games. Google announced that it would appeal the verdict.

In August, a federal judge ruled that Google has an illegal monopoly on search. That verdict could lead to the dissolution of the company’s search operation. Another antitrust lawsuit filed last month accuses Google of abusing its dominance in the online advertising business.

Meanwhile, European regulators have compelled Google to follow tough new standards, which have resulted in multiple $1 billion-plus fines.

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Pixa Bay

Google’s Search Dominance Is Unwinding

On top of that, the marketplace is becoming more difficult on its own.

TikTok, the fastest-growing social network, is expanding into the search market. And Amazon has accomplished something few other digital titans have done to date: it has established a habit.

When you want to buy anything, you usually go to Amazon, not Google. Amazon then buys adverts to push companies’ products to the top of your search results, increasing sales and earning Amazon a greater portion of the revenue. According to eMarketer, it is expected to generate $27.8 billion in search revenue in the United States next year, trailing only Google’s $62.9 billion total.

And then there’s AI, the technology that (supposedly) will change everything.

Why search in stilted language for “kendall jenner why bad bunny breakup” or “police moving violation driver rights no stop sign” when you can just ask OpenAI’s ChatGPT, “What’s going on with Kendall Jenner and Bad Bunny?” in “I need help fighting a moving violation involving a stop sign that wasn’t visible.” Google is working on exactly this technology with its Gemini product, but its success is far from guaranteed, especially with Apple collaborating with OpenAI and other businesses rapidly joining the market.

A Google spokeswoman referred to a blog post from last week in which the company unveiled ads in its AI overviews (the AI-generated text that appears at the top of search results). It’s Google’s way of expressing its ability to profit on a changing marketplace while retaining its business, even as its consumers steadily transition to ask-and-answer AI and away from search.

google

Google has long used a single catchphrase to defend itself against opponents who claim it is a monopoly abusing its power: competition is only a click away. Until recently, that seemed comically obtuse. Really? We are going to switch to Bing? Or Duck Duck Go? Give me a break.

But today, it feels more like reality.

Google is in no danger of disappearing. However, every highly dominating company faces some type of reckoning over time. GE, a Dow mainstay for more than a century, was broken up last year and is now a shell of its previous dominance. Sears declared bankruptcy in 2022 and is virtually out of business. US Steel, long the foundation of American manufacturing, is attempting to sell itself to a Japanese corporation.

Could we remember Google in the same way that we remember Yahoo or Ask Jeeves in decades? These next few years could be significant.

SOURCE | CNN

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The Supreme Court Turns Down Biden’s Government Appeal in a Texas Emergency Abortion Matter.

Supreme Court

(VOR News) – A ruling that prohibits emergency abortions that contravene the Supreme Court law in the state of Texas, which has one of the most stringent abortion restrictions in the country, has been upheld by the Supreme Court of the United States. The United States Supreme Court upheld this decision.

The justices did not provide any specifics regarding the underlying reasons for their decision to uphold an order from a lower court that declared hospitals cannot be legally obligated to administer abortions if doing so would violate the law in the state of Texas.

Institutions are not required to perform abortions, as stipulated in the decree. The common populace did not investigate any opposing viewpoints. The decision was made just weeks before a presidential election that brought abortion to the forefront of the political agenda.

This decision follows the 2022 Supreme Court ruling that ended abortion nationwide.

In response to a request from the administration of Vice President Joe Biden to overturn the lower court’s decision, the justices expressed their disapproval.

The government contends that hospitals are obligated to perform abortions in compliance with federal legislation when the health or life of an expectant patient is in an exceedingly precarious condition.

This is the case in regions where the procedure is prohibited. The difficulty hospitals in Texas and other states are experiencing in determining whether or not routine care could be in violation of stringent state laws that prohibit abortion has resulted in an increase in the number of complaints concerning pregnant women who are experiencing medical distress being turned away from emergency rooms.

The administration cited the Supreme Court’s ruling in a case that bore a striking resemblance to the one that was presented to it in Idaho at the beginning of the year. The justices took a limited decision in that case to allow the continuation of emergency abortions without interruption while a lawsuit was still being heard.

In contrast, Texas has been a vocal proponent of the injunction’s continued enforcement. Texas has argued that its circumstances are distinct from those of Idaho, as the state does have an exemption for situations that pose a significant hazard to the health of an expectant patient.

According to the state, the discrepancy is the result of this exemption. The state of Idaho had a provision that safeguarded a woman’s life when the issue was first broached; however, it did not include protection for her health.

Certified medical practitioners are not obligated to wait until a woman’s life is in imminent peril before they are legally permitted to perform an abortion, as determined by the state supreme court.

The state of Texas highlighted this to the Supreme Court.

Nevertheless, medical professionals have criticized the Texas statute as being perilously ambiguous, and a medical board has declined to provide a list of all the disorders that are eligible for an exception. Furthermore, the statute has been criticized for its hazardous ambiguity.

For an extended period, termination of pregnancies has been a standard procedure in medical treatment for individuals who have been experiencing significant issues. It is implemented in this manner to prevent catastrophic outcomes, such as sepsis, organ failure, and other severe scenarios.

Nevertheless, medical professionals and hospitals in Texas and other states with strict abortion laws have noted that it is uncertain whether or not these terminations could be in violation of abortion prohibitions that include the possibility of a prison sentence. This is the case in regions where abortion prohibitions are exceedingly restrictive.

Following the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, which resulted in restrictions on the rights of women to have abortions in several Republican-ruled states, the Texas case was revisited in 2022.

As per the orders that were disclosed by the administration of Vice President Joe Biden, hospitals are still required to provide abortions in cases that are classified as dire emergency.

As stipulated in a piece of health care legislation, the majority of hospitals are obligated to provide medical assistance to patients who are experiencing medical distress. This is in accordance with the law.

The state of Texas maintained that hospitals should not be obligated to provide abortions throughout the litigation, as doing so would violate the state’s constitutional prohibition on abortions. In its January judgment, the 5th United States Circuit Court of Appeals concurred with the state and acknowledged that the administration had exceeded its authority.

SOURCE: AP

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Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli, To repay $6.4 Million

shkreli

Washington — The Supreme Court rejected Martin Shkreli’s appeal on Monday, after he was branded “Pharma Bro” for raising the price of a lifesaving prescription.

Martin appealed a decision to repay $64.6 million in profits he and his former company earned after monopolizing the pharmaceutical market and dramatically raising its price. His lawyers claimed the money went to his company rather than him personally.

The justices did not explain their reasoning, as is customary, and there were no notable dissents.

Prosecutors, conversely, claimed that the firm had promised to pay $40 million in a settlement and that because Martin orchestrated the plan, he should be held accountable for returning profits.

shkreli

Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli

Martin was also forced to forfeit the Wu-Tang Clan’s unreleased album “Once Upon a Time in Shaolin,” which has been dubbed the world’s rarest musical album. The multiplatinum hip-hop group auctioned off a single copy of the record in 2015, stipulating that it not be used commercially.

Shkreli was convicted of lying to investors and defrauding them of millions of dollars in two unsuccessful hedge funds he managed. Shkreli was the CEO of Turing Pharmaceuticals (later Vyera), which hiked the price of Daraprim from $13.50 to $750 per pill after acquiring exclusive rights to the decades-old medicine in 2015. It cures a rare parasite condition that affects pregnant women, cancer patients, and HIV patients.

shkreli

He defended the choice as an example of capitalism in action, claiming that insurance and other programs ensured that those in need of Daraprim would eventually receive it. However, the move prompted criticism, from the medical community to Congress.

shkreli

Supreme Court Rejects Appeal From ‘Pharma Bro’ Martin Shkreli

Attorney Thomas Huff said the Supreme Court’s Monday ruling was upsetting, but the high court could still overturn a lower court judgment that allowed the $64 million penalty order even though Shkreli had not personally received the money.

“If and when the Supreme Court does so, Mr. Shkreli will have a strong argument for modifying the order accordingly,” he told reporters.

Shkreli was freed from prison in 2022 after serving most of his seven-year sentence.

SOURCE | AP

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